Questions tagged [risk-models]
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164 questions
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What is the optimal compromise between a sample covariance matrix and a highly structured estimator?
In Honey, I Shrunk the Sample Covariance Matrix by Ledoit & Wolf (2004), the authors mentioned:
Alternatively, one might consider an estimator with a lot of structure, like the single-factor ...
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What is the formula for value-at-risk (VaR) when the asset value follows an exponential distribution, and how can it be derived? [closed]
For example, say an asset value in 10 days follows an exponential distribution with mean $ W_{0} $. What would the formula for the value-at-risk for confidence c and reference level $ W_{0} $ for the ...
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Intuition behind the first-order approximation of loss of a portfolio given finite observable risk factors
I am trying to get an intuition behind the first-order approximation, $L_{t+1}^\Delta$ of the loss of a portfolio, $L_{t+1}$ from time $t$ to $t+1$ defined as
$$L_{t+1}=-[V_{t+1}-V_t]$$
$$L_{t+1}^\...
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Excess Return Evaluation Bias
Im currently working on a Alpha and Risk Model for constructing portfolios. From what Ive read on books and here, they are constructed in a different way and produce differents results. My Risk Model (...
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What is the proper way to derive risk definitions from utility functions?
In typical mean-variance analysis, the risk-adjusted relative value of an individual asset takes the general form
$\frac{\mu}{\sigma^2}$,
with further weighting and normalization depending on the ...
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What is the informational content of the volatility skew?
The option-implied volatility is well-known as a measure for the risk-neutral future expected risk for the underlying asset. However, the market prices of options (across different strikes) imply ...
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Can PCA be used to transform a ladder of interest rate risk?
The context
For traders/market makers on interest rate swaps desks, it is essential to have a model that transforms risk from its most complex representation (i.e. a ladder of every tenor) into a less ...
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Probability Theory: Maximizing the difference between distribution functions
Given a sample of observations $X$, by changing a parameter $p$ we can divide $X$ into two subsamples $X_1$ and $X_2$ (this division is done in a non-trivial way which is nonetheless irrelevant to ...
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Minimizing variance of a long short equity portfolio in practice
I understand the finance 101 explanation of how to minimize variance of a long-short portfolio using a covariance matrix. I also know that it doesn't really work because the covariance matrix is ...
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Is "extreme CVaR" (CVaR from extreme value theory) elicitable or conditionally elicitable with some other statistical mapping (like VaR)? [closed]
I am not able to find loss function (scoring function) extreme CVaR (CVaR from extreme value theory) which is a conditionally elicitable statistical mapping (conditioned on VaR).
In this regard, can ...
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Question on effective days of an exponentially weighted moving average model
I have been reading the book "RiskMetrics —Technical Document" by Longerstaey (J.P.Morgan) and Spencer (Reuters) (4th Edition, 1996). I am wondering what the effective days of the ...
user64706
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How to test a risk model?
I'm reading the Barra risk model handbook (2004) available online and trying to understand the methodology. I've read a few materials on portfolio theory, so I can get at least the theoretical ideas ...
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Introductory Books to Network Theory
Can anyone please suggest a good introductory book to Network Theory which is the area of mathematics that is widely used for systemic risk and contagion modeling in finance. If the book contains some ...
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Calculation of Total Credit Risk Capital % but seeing lower capital percentage for higher risk band. Is there any correction required?
I am trying to calculate the Total Credit Risk capital % for my learning purpose as given below. Assuming adding 1 single loan with different pds.
i have noticed one point in the table and have two ...
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are there any good papers on sector-specific versions of factor models?
Does anyone know of any good papers that build sector-specific (utilities, financials, energy, etc.) versions of factor models like the Fama French 3-factor or Carhart 4-factor models?
For example, ...
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Practical implications of Andy Lo paper on Sharpe ratio using quarterly returns?
I am hoping to determine the practical implications of the Andy Lo paper criticizing the use of a scaling factor in converting periodic Sharpe ratio to annualized Sharpe ratio. I am particularly ...
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Market Risk FRTB - How to demonstrate that the linear transformation of the alternative definition of Vega reflects the actual vega risk?
I have a question regarding the use of alternative vega sensitivities (bank system sensitivities) in the context of the Vega Risk Charge of the SBM.
The article 325t.6 of the CRR allows banks to ...
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What is the market share of MSCI Barra Equity Model?
My understanding is that MSCI/Barra's model has a very large market share in funds and banks, but I cannot find out how large is the exact market share.
Is there any data on this, or can someone ...
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Standard market risk platform Value-at-Risk (VaR)
if possible, could you share publicly available methodological guides/pamphlets or post links to specialised websites which give sufficient detail of the basic assumptions, algorithms and possible ...
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What happens if my risk factor caught by statistical risk model using PCA turns out to be totally different from other PM's risk factor? [closed]
In order to explain systematic risk we use risk factors and I've learned that since they try to explain 'systematic' risk, risk factors are relatively well-known.
However, what happens if the risk ...
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Arrow Debreu Price vs Green's function
How is the Arrow Debreu Price related to Green's function at an intuitive level and how is this used in practice?
Note Added 2021/02/01
I came across this in the Black Derman Toy model paper by Boyle, ...
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Mean Absolute Deviation in m.v. portfolio optimization
I just read some articles about $MAD$ as a measure of risk in finance.
Is the following formulation a correct way to implement a $MAD$ portfolio optimization model which minimizes risk without ...
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Capital Allocation, VaR, Expected Shortfall
Are there any serious drawbacks / weaknesses in the Euler allocation method, when used to allocate VaR capital (and potentially Expected Shortfall) to risk factors in a portfolio? I notice that ...
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I’m trying to construct a binomial model that uses 2 risky model - number of steps varied
So with this question I am unsure how to even do a binomial model with 2 risky assets never mind having n-steps. All the examples I’ve found are either not containing any risky assets or only have one....
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Do the weights of the exponentially weighted moving average (EWMA) have to sum to 1?
I am currently trying to calculate a volatility by using the EWMA model because it is said to yield better results than just using an equal weighted calculation approach. However I am a bit confused ...
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